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“Politics should be the part-time profession of every citizen who would protect the rights and privileges of free people and who would preserve what is good and fruitful in our national heritage.” Dwight D. Eisenhower

Archive for the ‘Iraq’ Category

New Developments In Iran

Posted by Atilla89 on September 9, 2008

I was just sent a worrying article about Iran and the possible Israeli strike on its reactors. There are still a couple a problems that have to be addressed. Firstly, the shortest flight path to Iran from Israel is obviously across Iraq. My reaction to that was how is this a problem, America pretty much owns that airspace? Well, according to senior journalist Ben Caspit:

Instead of the needed overflight codes, Caspit claims, the U.S. is offering Israel defensive radar—“‘We’ll help you defend yourselves, but we’ll prevent you from attacking,’ say the Americans.”

This is a real problem, Israel (nor America really) can’t abide a nuclear Iran yet at the same the same time America is directly hindering the operation, I still don’t understand that. However later on in the article it becomes a little clearer.

A security source told Caspit that “the Americans have accepted a nuclear Iran and are trying to get us [Israel] to accept it.”

Personally, I don’t believe that. America must know that a nuclear Iran is bad news for everybody, not just Israel. However, moving on to a more a serious problem. Further on in the article a bombshell is dropped:

Britain’s Sunday Telegraph reports that both the U.S. and Israel now fear that Russia stands to supply the sophisticated S-300 air-defense system to Iran in retaliation for Washington supporting NATO membership for Georgia and Ukraine.

More information from this article titled Israel’s Red Line: The S-300 Missile System:

Although on July 9 U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates denied the possibility of Iran acquiring the missile — known as the S-300PMU-1 by its Russian designers — “anytime soon,” defense reporters have speculated widely that the operational deployment of the S-300 air-defense system would represent a “red line” for an Israeli air strike on Iran. This is because the SA-20/S-300 represents a nearly insurmountable obstacle for conventional aircraft, according to air power experts.

“For non-stealth aircraft, the SA-20 represents a virtual no-fly zone,” said retired United States Air Force General Richard E. Hawley.

Additionally, the SA-20 is much more resistant to electronic countermeasures that are typically used by strike aircraft to defeat such weapons and is capable of engaging targets with far smaller radar cross-sections.

Should Iran obtain Russian S-300 missiles along with their mobile launchers, such as this one bearing four S-300-capable missile tubes, the Israel Defense Forces may be unable to mount a successful attack against any Iranian military nuclear facility. Credit: Russian Federation Ministry of Defense [Source for image here]

This is a HUGE development if it is true because it means that Israel may be well and truly screwed in that sense. Their only hope is for an F-22 Raptor which is almost impossible to detect, expect the only country that has these is America and they are not allowed to export them. Israel may have to rely on America for this one.

However it’s not all bad news, first we have an awesome quote from former Deputy Defence Minister Ephraim Sneh (head of a new political party started by himself called Strong Israel)

Sneh told them [Switzerland and Austria – both of which have large invesments in the resource sector of Iran] it was “too bad” about their investments, “because Iddo’s going to set it all on fire”—referring to recently appointed Israeli air force chief Iddo Nehushtan. “‘Investing in Iran in 2008,’ Sneh told the Austrians, ‘is like investing in the Krupp steelworks in 1938, a high-risk investment.’ The Austrians, according to Sneh, turned pale.”

Now for some good news, Iran’s economy is supposedly down in the doldrums.

As Ahmadinejad increases subsidies and spending, inflation has become Iran’s chief domestic issue. While the government acknowledges an inflation rate of 18 percent, parliamentarians and central bank officials say the real rate is closer to 25 or 30 percent.

Privatization schemes have also languished. While announcements of impending factory privatizations are many, sales are few. The reformist daily Aftab-e Yazd observed, “The misguided policies of the government hit us harder than the sanctions of the foreigners.”

I’m no economist so I’m not going to comment directly on these issues, all I can say is that I hope this impacts on their foreign military spending, maybe that S-300 will remain just a rumour…

Posted in IDF, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Middle-East, Military, US, War | Leave a Comment »

“And we’ll be waiting for you”

Posted by Atilla89 on July 24, 2008

This was the piece of graffiti scrawled beneath a sign reading “We’ll be back” written by a retreating terrorist (liberal speak: militant) from Basra, Iraq. This is just another sign that the city is finally shaking off its unwanted terrorists and embracing the new Iraq. Hat tip to Tim Blair.

The Shia militias, the Jaish al- Mahdi, who controlled large parts of Basra until March this year, has now gone and instead the city is firmly under the grip of Iraq’s new security forces, in whom the coalition has invested so much training. They re-established control in April, in an operation romantically named “The Charge of the Knights”, systematically clearing the city with British and American support, confiscating illegal weapons and arresting the violent gangs whose combination of criminality and vicious extremism was making life a misery for so many of Basra’s people.

https://i1.wp.com/image.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2008/03/25/Iraqi-police-takesC.jpg

Iraqi Police in Basrah

Just as important as this is the fact that Basra has the potential to do well. Indeed:

‘…as one Basrawi businessman put it to me this week, to be a “Dubai, not a Mogadishu”. What they want and need now are international partners.’

The city itself has the resources, they have both oil and natural gas. As well as this, they have a great location situated on the Shatt al-Arab waterway near the Persian Gulf.

This is what happens when the Coalition stays the course. This is why I don’t understand why previously everybody’s favourite “Obamessiah”, decided that even with the benefit of hindsight, he wound not support the surge strategy back when it was still in debate.

Q: If you had to do it over again, knowing what you know now, would you support the surge?

A: No, because, keep in mind that…

Q: You wouldn’t?

And then have the nerve to continue flip-flopping on the issue. Stay the course!

Posted in Arabs, Iraq, Middle-East, Military, Terrorism, U.S. Politics, War | Leave a Comment »

Talk With Spokesperson For The Israeli Embassy In Australia

Posted by Atilla89 on May 27, 2008

So sorry about the large gap between posts, I have been very busy with work and the like. I have another big load of work coming up in the next few weeks so regular posting won’t be back for a while yet, here’s a few tasters just to let you know that I’ve not given up on this blog. Anyway, two really nice articles from FrontPage.

  1. Iraq Rising
  2. Behind the Israel-Syria Talks

Just to let you know, last Wednesday (May 21), I heard Mr Dor Shapira, spokesperson for the Israeli Embassy in Canberra discuss the future of Israel for the next 60 years. I didn’t really learn that much primary because he went into the history of Israel, of which I am quite versed. Interestingly, one the questions asked was (paraphrasing here), what sort of contingency plan is there if talks with Fatah don’t work out (or Fatah is taken over by Hamas)? Mr Shapira didn’t really have an answer for it. He went on about trying to keep Fatah going but eventually admitted that Israel would be in ‘deep shit’ if that happened. I myself asked the question what sort of chance is there for Israel and Syria making peace? The answer that I got was its not likely that peace would achieved, it is doubtful that Syria would want to cut its relations with Iran and all the other terrorist groups. He also mentioned that it was a kind of cycle, every three years or so there would be talks but no real action.

That’s pretty much all the exciting things that have happened to me this week, yay… Once again hopefully I will have some more posts for you all.

Posted in Arabs, Fatah, Hamas, Hizbullah, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Lebanon, Middle-East, Palestine, Syria, Terrorism, Uni | 1 Comment »

Happy Pesach and Chag Sameach!

Posted by Atilla89 on April 19, 2008

Just wishing everybody a happy Pesach and Chag Sameach! I am definitely looking forward to this Pesach as my mother will be making her trademark (and best) chocolate Matza’s as well as this, the Seder which I will be going to will have around 40 people! Before I leave, here’s the link for Michael Totten’s new post about the tribes in Iraq and how the Marines are trying to use them to contain a sustainable democracy.

Captain Jones and Mayor of Karmah.jpg

Captain Quintin Jones and Mayor Abu Abdullah

Also I leave you with another link to an article written by Margot Dudkevitch from Infolive.tv about the amount of weapons that are being smuggled into the Gaza Strip through the most interesting ways.

In recent months,  Iran has increased its efforts to smuggle weapons into the Gaza Strip via the sea and also tunnels between Egypt and Gaza, sending the Hamas and Islamic Jihad terror groups there not only weapons and rifles but advanced Iranian made rockets and mortar shells.

A report in the Jerusalem Post says that many of the weapons are too big to smuggle through the tunnels built underneath the Philadelphi Corridor linking Egypt and the Gaza Strip, and therefore resort to dropping them off the waters in Gaza in waterproof sealed tubes.

Posted in Hamas, Hizbullah, IDF, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jews, Lebanon, Middle-East, Military, Palestine, Religion, Terrorism | 1 Comment »