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Labor Wins Australian Federal Election 2007

Posted by Atilla89 on November 24, 2007

Ok, it is now official, for all those who don’t know, Australia had their Federal Election to decide which political party would take power. I am embarrassed to say that the Liberal Party lost (really badly) and now the Labor Party under Kevin Rudd is now in charge of Australia. Even more posts to follow on his policies and their effects. The results are as follows (at the point of writing):

Liberal: 48

Labor: 84

National: 10

Independent: 2

Too close to call: 6

Coalition: 58

Labor 84

Now to some light and not so light analysis:

Andrew Bolt decides that it should be “A consolation for all right-thinking voters: Kevin Rudd or John Howard, whoever wins today will be a conservative. The Left loses again.

From Tim Blair we have updates stating that:

  • ABC reports John Howard has phoned Kevin Rudd to concede defeat. Nick Minchin says result is “tragic for us on the conservative side of politics”. Julia Gillard says Howard will be remembered with “respect and affection”.
  • Jeff Kennett: “Not only are the Democrats gone, but the Greens achieved nothing, after all that effort …” Not entirely – they did hand over the usual bunch of preferences to their ALP pals. Overall Green vote up only 0.6% on 2004, despite big early numbers.

Which in my view is pretty much spot on, if only Peter Garret would go back to his own pary (Greens) instead of making Labor even worse then it is supposed to be.

  • Howard congratulates Rudd on “very emphatic victory”. Says it has been a privilege to be Prime Minister of “this very beautiful country … the Australian people are the greatest people on earth, and this is the greatest country on earth.” He’s leaving on some perfect notes. Australia will miss this bloke more than it knows. Howard also, as did Mal Brough, urges that Labor support ongoing intervention in wretched Aboriginal areas. Thanks staff for putting up with a “sometimes cantankerous” Prime Minister during the past few months. Lots of smiles. Final words as PM: “I wish the government elected by the people of Australia the very best in the years ahead.” Nick Minchin describes it as “a great speech from a remarkable man.”

The Australian have also got a few things to say:

Mr Howard wished Mr Rudd well on the task he had ahead and said the Coalition bequeathed to him a nation that was “stronger and prouder and more prosperous’’ than it was 11 years ago.

Nice last little jab at the Labor government before Howard

But without conceding defeat in his own electorate he gave a strong endorsement for Peter Costello, both as the fiscal steward of the past but also for the future. “The future of our party is very much tied up with Peter Costello; he is very much our future,’’ he said.

This should come as no surprise but Costello looks set to become the new leader of the Opposition fairly soon (assuming Howard retires which I believe he will).

The rest of what The Australian says is just results coming in, you can read all of it in the ‘more’ section.

Labor powerbrokers, including deputy Julia Gillard, Tony Burke, Stephen Smith and Robert Ray earlier said they believed they had secured victory.

This followed strong swings in Queensland to Labor, further strengthening its grip as the polls shut in Western Australia.Counting in the battleground state of Queensland shows the Labor Party is set to pick up as many as ten seats.

The ABC panel was estimating a 5.7 per cent national swing to Labor, before the votes were counted in Western Australia.

Bonner, Blair, Longman, Petrie, Flynn and Moreton look among those set to fall to Mr Rudd in Queensland.

However, the swings do not appear to be uniform, with the Coalition likely to hold the seat of Herbert, which sits on a margin of 6.2 per cent.

The fear that Western Australia would undermine Labor’s bid for power didn’t happen. Strong support for the Liberal Party in Western Australia is likely to translate to a nett loss of one seat nationally, with Swan in doubt for Labor.

Former Prime Minister Bob Hawke called the election a victory just after 8 o’clock but many pundits were still waiting for more results before chancing the arm.

Shortly after Bob Hawke’s call on Sky News, former Queensland premier Peter Beattie called a victory for Kevin Rudd.

The bell-wether seat of Eden Monaro in NSW appears to have fallen to Labor’s Mike Kelly, a retired army colonel, up against minister Gary Nairn.

Ms Gillard said Work Choices appeared to have cost the Howard government its majority.

“I think the thing that first caused the so-called Howard battlers to look at the government and not like what they saw was Work Choices,” she said.

“I think that really did crack a substantial proportion of the so-called Howard battler (demographic).
“Once they saw one flaw then they started looking for a few more, so people re-engaged with politics. Then climate change undoubtedly became a template as to how the government had gone stale in office.”

The Coalition had lost touch on cost-of-living issues, she said, and the coalition’s “puffed up” claims on keeping interest rates low at the last election had come back to bite it, Ms Gillard said.

Labor treasury spokesman Wayne Swan said Labor was doing in well in Petrie, Dawson, and Blair with early strong results in Moreton and Bonner.

Labor are on track to snare the three most marginal Liberal seats in South Australia.

Makin, Wakefield, and Kingston all held with less than 1 per cent, have strong swings to Labor.

Bob Day, who is taking over the seat of Makin from a retiring Trish Draper and David Fawcett the sitting member in Wakefield are suffering initial swings of about 7 per cent.

This would give Makin to Tony Zappia and Wakefield is going to Nick Champion.

Kym Richardson, a former policeman in Kingston is facing a 3 per cent swing.

A federal minister Christopher Pyne is in a neck and neck battle with Labor’s Mia Handshin in what was the safe seat with a 6.8 per cent margin.

The only bright spot for the Coalition in the early counting is the failure of accident prone celebrity candidate Nicole Cornes in Boothby where despite a swing sitting member Andrew Southcott appears to be ahead.

Strong gains in the south-eastern states, including in Victoria has bolstered Labor confidence.

Senior powerbroker, Robert Ray, using the mountain climbing analogy of Kevin Rudd’s, said he would be telling his boss that they had left base camp and were heading on the north face of the election Everest.

The Liberals are in trouble in some of their safer electorates, while making showing initially strong defences of some of their more precarious seats.

John Howard’s own seat of Bennelong is line ball on the first 1 per cent of votes counted.

On the NSW central coast seat of Dobell and the Victorian semi-rural seat of Corangamite, held by 4.8 and 5.4 per cent respectively, early counting shows swings of up to 7 per cent, according to the Australian Electoral Commission.

But the Tasmanian Liberal-held seats of Braddon and Bass (1.2 per cent and 2.7 per cent) are containing the swings in the initial votes coming from small booths in timber industry areas.

Labor treasury spokesman Wayne Swan acknowledged that Labor would have to look at some of the more safer seats up the pendulum.

He said this election would blow the pendulum, which ranks seats from the safest at the top to the closest at the bottom, away.

An exit poll of Coalition-held marginal seats suggest Labor has won the federal election with 53 per cent of the two-party preferred vote, despite polls still running in Western Australia and Queensland.

The Sky News/Channel 7 poll of 2500, conducted by polling company Auspoll, also suggest John Howard could lose his own seat of Bennelong.

Retiring Labor leader Kim Beazley told Sky New was sceptical about exit polls because there was an often a rush of Liberal voters later in the day, after five o’clock.

One Response to “Labor Wins Australian Federal Election 2007”

  1. Anne said

    Sharing much joy and rejoicing at the demise of the evil Howard Government.
    May those who feel embarassed at his defeat feel shame for his Party’s deeds and for the stupidity and foolishness of your followship.

    My hopes have been rewarded.


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